According to the analysis, the number of pharmacists are growing by 6,521 annually. Currently (2017), there are 0.95 US pharmacists per 1000 US population. However, the number of pharmacists is expected to grow to be 1 pharmacists per 1000 population by year 2021. WHO recommends at least 1 pharmacist per 1000 population. According to the prediction analysis using simple regression, the number of pharmacists will grow to be 384,421 by year 2028, exceeding 1.08 pharmacists per 1000 population. Unless the number of prescriptions increases more than the number of population, pharmacists will have to find other sources of income than just traditional pharmacy practice. Hope pharmacists will be able to attain the healthcare provider status and be able to practice in other areas of healthcare.
Graph-1 Growth of the Number of US Pharmacists
Graph-2 Prediction of the growth of US pharmacists number
Statistically significant at 99% Confidence Interval
Year | US Pharmacists | US Population |
Pharmacists per
1000 Population
|
2003 | 215,030 | 290,100,000 | 0.74123 |
2004 | 222,960 | 292,800,000 | 0.76148 |
2005 | 229,740 | 295,500,000 | 0.77746 |
2006 | 239,920 | 298,400,000 | 0.80402 |
2007 | 253,110 | 301,200,000 | 0.84034 |
2008 | 266,410 | 304,100,000 | 0.87606 |
2009 | 267,860 | 306,800,000 | 0.87308 |
2010 | 268,030 | 309,300,000 | 0.86657 |
2011 | 272,320 | 311,600,000 | 0.87394 |
2012 | 281,560 | 314,000,000 | 0.89669 |
2013 | 287,420 | 316,200,000 | 0.90898 |
2014 | 290,780 | 318,600,000 | 0.91268 |
2015 | 295,620 | 321,000,000 | 0.92093 |
2016 | 305,510 | 323,400,000 | 0.94468 |
2017 | 309,330 | 325,700,000 | 0.94974 |
Table-2 Number of US Pharmacists Prediction from 2018 to 2028
Year | US Pharmacists | US Population | Pharmacists per 1000 Population |
2018 | 319,209 | 328,885,714 | 0.97058 |
2019 | 325,731 | 331,423,929 | 0.98282 |
2020 | 332,252 | 333,962,143 | 0.99488 |
2021 | 338,773 | 336,500,357 | 1.00675 |
2022 | 345,294 | 339,038,571 | 1.01845 |
2023 | 351,815 | 341,576,786 | 1.02997 |
2024 | 358,337 | 344,115,000 | 1.04133 |
2025 | 364,858 | 346,653,214 | 1.05251 |
2026 | 371,379 | 349,191,429 | 1.06354 |
2027 | 377,900 | 351,729,643 | 1.07440 |
2028 | 384,421 | 354,267,857 | 1.08511 |
Statistically significant at 99% Confidence Interval
Regression Analysis
Number of US Pharmacists = - 12840528.93 + 6521.178*(Year)
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | |
Intercept | -12840528.93 | 637878.2 | -20.1301 | 3.49994E-11 |
X Variable 1 | 6521.178571 | 317.3516 | 20.54875 | 2.69864E-11 |
t-value > 20
P-valve < 0.001
Statistically significant at 99% Confidence Interval
Source:
https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes291051.htm
https://www.statista.com/statistics/185723/number-of-pharmacists-in-the-us-since-2001/
https://www.statista.com/statistics/185723/number-of-pharmacists-in-the-us-since-2001/
https://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=kf7tgg1uo9ude_&met_y=population&hl=en&dl=en
http://www.who.int/gho/health_workforce/pharmaceutical_density_text/en/
http://www.who.int/gho/health_workforce/pharmaceutical_density_text/en/
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